Why Statistics Canada's jobs data should be treated with caution
Recall about a year ago the mystery of how widespread business claims of labour shortages, and their calls to preserve the Temporary Foreign Workers program, could co-exist with critics who pointed to a job vacancy rate of 1.5% in a Statistics Canada survey. Some of the mystery was cleared up last week, when Statistics Canada quietly put out a technical paper called 2011 Workplace Survey Summary and Lessons Learned. It holds lessons not just for understanding vacancy rates but also for anyone relying on data alone to provide the answer to all policy questions and conundrums.
Statistics Canada found that the 1.5% vacancy rate in its business payroll survey nearly doubled to 2.7% in its Workplace Survey. The increase was most pronounced for the industries that were complaining the most about shortages in 2011, such as mining, transportation and construction, and for the Western provinces. In other words, these data make a lot more sense and better fit the narrative coming from the business community at the time.
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